League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • goal Paul Huntington 82' (OG)

Carlisle United vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Carlisle 5 - 1 Barrow
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Harrogate 0 - 1 Sutton
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Luke Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 61.62% (+0.05)
Draw 21.8% (-0.02)
Harrogate Town 16.59% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.19% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 47.81% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70% (-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 85% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 15% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 56.55% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 43.45% (-0.05)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.96% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.04% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.53% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.47% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 61.61%
Draw 21.79%
Harrogate Town 16.59%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 7.18% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 61.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.79%
Harrogate Town
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.59%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Luke Armstrong 28' goal
  • Warren Burrell 60' goal
  • Jaheim Headley 76' goal
  • goal Taylor Charters 12'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 50'
  • goal Owen Moxon 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack Diamond 18' goal
  • Rory McArdle 27' goal
  • Josh Austerfield 66' yellowcard
  • Nathan Sheron 70' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Devine 35'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 56'
EFL Trophy
Jan 4, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Armstrong 7' goal
  • Brahima Diarra 32' yellowcard
  • Jack Diamond 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 33'
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Callum Guy 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Sheron 41'
  • goal George Thomson 45'+1'
  • goal Alex Pattison 78'
  • yellowcard Warren Burrell 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Callum Guy 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 40' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kayode 75' goal
  • goal Jack Muldoon 11'
League Two Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Josh March 28' goal
  • Edward Francis 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Tanner 76'