League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Harrogate

FT(HT: 0-0)

Huntington (82' og.)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 5-1 Barrow
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
61.62% ( 0.05)	21.8% ( -0.02)	16.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.19% (

0.02)

47.81% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30% (

0.02)

70% (

-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.02)

15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

0.04)

43.45% (

-0.04)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

-0.03)

42.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

-0.02)

78.47% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 61.61%

Harrogate Town 16.59%

Draw 21.79%

Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.61%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.59%