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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Sutton United

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajiboye (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
35.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02)27.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.03% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.96% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.03%
    Sutton United 37.81%
    Draw 27.15%
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Sutton
3-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (29'), Wright (72', 87')
Beautyman (83')
Falkingham (68')
Muldoon (49'), Emmett (74')