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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
28.76% ( 0.33) | 25.63% ( 0.16) | 45.61% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.47) | 50.75% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.41) | 72.65% ( 0.41) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( 0) | 68.45% ( -0) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( -0.63) | 55.66% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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