League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
5 - 1
Barrow

Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barclay (84' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Barrow
46.24% ( 1.06)	27.27% ( -0.4)	26.49% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

1.01)

58.26% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

0.79)

78.89% (

-0.79)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

0.99)

25.19% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08% (

1.35)

59.92% (

-1.35)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

-0.01)

37.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

-0)

74.6% (

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 46.23%

Barrow 26.49%

Draw 27.27%

Carlisle United	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.49%