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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Barrow

Carlisle
5 - 1
Barrow

Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Mellish (76'), Gibson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barclay (84' og.)
Ray (34'), Gotts (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Barrow

 A cagey affair could be in store between two sides separated by just one point in the standings, and neither crop of players have covered themselves in glory recently. Barrow should give themselves a fighting chance of avoiding yet another defeat on the road if they can cut out the individual errors, but Carlisle may have to accept another point on their own territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
46.24% (1.06 1.06) 27.27% (-0.397 -0.4) 26.49% (-0.667 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.51% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (1.014 1.01)58.26% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.788 0.79)78.89% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.989 0.99)25.19% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (1.346 1.35)59.92% (-1.349 -1.35)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.6% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.23%
    Barrow 26.49%
    Draw 27.27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Barrow

Carlisle United
73.2%
Draw
7.3%
Barrow
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow

Guy (90+5')

Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-2
Carlisle
Quigley (19'), Brough (24')
Eardley (25'), Quigley (73')
Armer (3'), Zanzala (79' pen.)
Armer (30'), Tanner (52'), Mellish (66')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Barrow
Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')
Hayden (55')

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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