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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Carlisle United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

 Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
34.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 39.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.42% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.01%
    Carlisle United 39.34%
    Draw 26.65%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636
> League Two Full Table


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