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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 33.56% | 26.91% | 39.53% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( | 54.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( | 75.65% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( | 30.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% | 66.63% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( | 62.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.53% |