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Championship header 2

League Two

Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Newport County

Rochdale
1 - 1
Newport

Rodney (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewis (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crawley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawNewport County
35.36%28.27%36.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)59.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.21% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.14% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 35.36%
    Newport County 36.36%
    Draw 28.27%
RochdaleDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.36%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Newport

Rochdale
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-1
Rochdale

Clarke (11')
Ball (5')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Rochdale
Done (16'), Odoh (90+2')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Newport
Beesley (2', 72' pen.), Kelly (89')
Coleman (64'), Grant (74')

Demetriou (70'), Norman (72')
May 3, 2014 3pm
Newport
2-1
Rochdale
O'Connor (41'), Feely (88')
Minshull (82')
Jackson (84')
Donnelly (28')
Lund (65'), Henderson (90')
Oct 12, 2013 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Newport
Vincenti (5'), Cummins (38'), Hery (72')

Hughes (30'), Chapman (43')