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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Northampton Town

Barrow
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (54'), McWilliams (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
36.52%28.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)35.3% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)58.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.012 -0.01)31.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.05% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 36.52%
    Northampton Town 35.29%
    Draw 28.18%
BarrowDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.29%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Northampton
3-1
Barrow
Hoskins (5'), Bowie (46'), Magloire (50')
Leonard (54'), Koiki (90+6'), Magloire (90+8'), Guthrie (90+9')
Gordon (13')
Foley (26'), Gordon (45'), White (86'), Brough (90+8')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-3
Northampton
Kay (45')
Kay (45+1'), Grayson (80')
Hoskins (5', 22'), Horsfall (14')
Hoskins (49'), Rose (77')
Roberts (90+2')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Barrow

McWilliams (71')
Amadi-Holloway (51')
Hutton (33'), Taylor (64'), Kay (79'), Rooney (90+4')