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Championship header 2

League Two

Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Northampton Town

Stockport
2 - 0
Northampton

Sarcevic (33'), Sowerby (68' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stockport County and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Walsall
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNorthampton Town
46.51% (-0.558 -0.56)26.24% (0.169 0.17)27.25% (0.385 0.39)
Both teams to score 50.01% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)54.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54% (-0.356 -0.36)75.46% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.43899999999999 -0.44)23.2% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.642 -0.64)57.09% (0.639 0.64)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.085999999999999 0.09)34.88% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)71.62% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 46.5%
    Northampton Town 27.25%
    Draw 26.24%
Stockport CountyDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 46.5%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 2pm
Northampton
2-1
Stockport
Hoskins (48'), Lintott (63')
Horsfall (12')
Wright (37')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Northampton
Tansey (88'), Rodgers (23' og.)
Wallace (30'), Halls (78')
Harrad (78' pen.)
Osman (30'), Beckwith (35'), Harrad (41'), Ofori-Twumasi (50'), Rodgers (86')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Stockport
Thornton (4'), Jacobs (75')
McKenzie (64')

Williams (22'), Tansey (64')
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Northampton
4-0
Stockport
Guttridge (72'), Osman (45'), Akinfenwa (12'), Vernon (79')
Osman (17'), Hughes (19')

McSweeney (69')
Sep 16, 2008 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Northampton
McSweeney (76')
Hawley (5')
Guttridge (30'), Hawley (81')