Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

McNeil (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Dwight McNeil's winner after just 35 seconds lifts Everton out of the relegation zone as the Toffees end Brentford's unbeaten run with a 1-0 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Everton
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Fulham
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brentford
43.43% ( 0.02)	26.39% ( 0)	30.17% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

-0.04)

53.19% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

-0.03)

74.75% (

0.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0)

24.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0)

58.7% (

-0)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.04)

32.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.05)

68.71% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Everton 43.42%

Brentford 30.17%

Draw 26.39%

Everton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.17%