/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
-
Rodri
4'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
39'
-
Riyad Mahrez
45'+1'
-
Ollie Watkins
61'
Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F06%2Fmanchester-city.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F03%2Fmciwol.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fakarsa.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Fphil-foden.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.95%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.43)
4-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.18)
5-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.25)
5-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.16)
5-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 81.94%
2-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 11.67%
0-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 6.38%
Head to Head
-
Matty Cash
26'
-
Lucas Digne
71'
-
Leon Bailey
74'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
50'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
76'
-
Rodri
78'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
81'
-
Matty Cash
37'
-
Tyrone Mings
49'
-
Philippe Coutinho
69'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
87'
-
Ollie Watkins
47'
-
Ruben Dias
27'
-
Bernardo Silva
43'
-
John McGinn
1'
-
Matty Cash
54'
-
Matty Cash
57'
-
Phil Foden
22'
-
Rodri
40'
-
John Stones
44'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
44'
-
Bernardo Silva
79'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
90'
-
John McGinn
67'
-
Dean Smith
81'
-
Dean Smith
81'
-
Neil Taylor
86'
-
Mbwana Samatta
41'
-
Ahmed Elmohamady
68'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
72'
-
Tyrone Mings
90'
-
Sergio Aguero
20'
-
Rodri
30'
-
Raheem Sterling
57'
-
Rodri
60'
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F45%2Funai-emery.jpg)