Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
0 - 1
Man City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mahrez (63')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during draw with Nottingham Forest on January 1, 2023.

Chelsea 'will not sack Graham Potter even if they miss out on top four'

Chelsea owner Todd Boehly will reportedly keep the faith with Graham Potter, even if the club fail to make the top four.

Jan 6, 21:12

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on January 5, 2022

Manchester City's Pep Guardiola praises John Stones, hails "important" win over Chelsea

Pep Guardiola heaps praise on John Stones and hails Manchester City's "important" 1-0 win away against Chelsea in the Premier League on Thursday night.

Jan 5, 23:04

Chelsea's Carney Chukwuemeka in action with Manchester City's John Stones on January 5, 2023

Graham Potter praises Chelsea's spirit during narrow Manchester City defeat

Graham Potter praises the spirit of his injury-hit Chelsea squad as his side suffer a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester City on Thursday night.

Jan 5, 22:50

Chelsea's Raheem Sterling goes down as Kai Havertz, Hakim Ziyech, Manchester City's Bernardo Silva and Ederson look on on January 5, 2023

Raheem Sterling, Christian Pulisic limp off early for Chelsea against Man City

Chelsea lose both Raheem Sterling and Christian Pulisic to injury in the early stages of their Premier League clash against Manchester City at Stamford Bridge.

Jan 5, 20:13

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Chelsea
Sunday, January 1 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
21.34% ( 0.06)	22.8% ( 0)	55.87% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

0.07)

45.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

0.07)

67.49% (

-0.06)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

0.1)

35.23% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

0.1)

71.99% (

-0.09)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

15.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.7% (

0.01)

45.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 21.34%

Manchester City 55.86%

Draw 22.79%

Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.34%	1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.86%