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Julian Alvarez
51'
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Erling Braut Haaland
53'
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Riyad Mahrez
63'
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Riyad Mahrez
90'
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Dejan Kulusevski
44'
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Emerson
45'+2'
Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.72)
3-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.67)
1-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.51)
4-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.47)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.26)
5-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
6-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 70.79%
2-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.39)
0-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.22%
0-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 12.99%
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
64'
Oleksandr Zinchenko
60'
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