FA Cup
Man City
Jan 8, 2023 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Riyad Mahrez 23' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 30' goal
  • Phil Foden 38' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 85' goal

Manchester City vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 55.84% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 20.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Chelsea 23.59% ▼ (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.58% ▼ (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 2.5 31.88% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 46.57% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 3.5 53.42% ▲ (+0.84)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 88.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 63.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 36.49% ▲ (+0.03)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 74.15% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 0.5 25.85% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 1.5 39.18% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 1.5 60.82% ▲ (+1.33)

Score analysis

Manchester City 55.84%
Draw 20.56%
Chelsea 23.59%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 55.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.56%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 23.59%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Chelsea
Jan 5, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 63'
EFL Cup
Man City
Nov 9, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 58' goal
Premier League Gameweek 22
Man City
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Kevin De Bruyne 70' goal
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 7'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 32'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Marcos Alonso 77' yellowcard
  • Andreas Christensen 78' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 84' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 65'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 90'+6'
Champions League
Man City
May 29, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Chelsea
  • Ilkay Gundogan 35' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 88' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 42'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 57'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Man City
May 8, 2021 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Raheem Sterling 12' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 44' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90' yellowcard
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 63'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 90'+2'

Form Data

Chelsea 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 1 - 1 Everton
Leeds 1 - 3 Man City
Man City 3 - 2 Liverpool
Man City 2 - 0 Girona
Man City 1 - 2 Brentford
Chelsea 0 - 1 Man City
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 0 Bournemouth
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Chelsea
Newcastle 1 - 0 Chelsea
Man City 2 - 0 Chelsea

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