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Patson Daka
39'
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Ben Chilwell 11'
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Kai Havertz 45'+6'
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Mateo Kovacic 78'
Leicester City vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Leicester City
30.39%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
25.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Chelsea
43.75%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
53.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.08%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
50.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
27.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
72.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5
69.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
30.89%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
32.82%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
67.18%
▼
(-0.05)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
76.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
42.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
57.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Leicester City
30.39%
Draw
25.85%
Chelsea
43.74%
Leicester City
1-0
@
8.41%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.39%
2-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.39%
Draw
1-1
@
12.29%
0-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
Chelsea
0-1
@
10.46%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.74%
1-2 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.74%
Head to Head
Build-up
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