Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Patson Daka 39' goal
  • goal Ben Chilwell 11'
  • goal Kai Havertz 45'+6'
  • goal Mateo Kovacic 78'

Leicester City vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Southampton 1 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Harvey Barnes

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 30.39% (+0.04)
Draw 25.85% (-0.01)
Chelsea 43.75% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.09% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.08% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.91% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.21% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.79% (-0.03)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 69.1% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.89% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.82% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67.18% (-0.05)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 76.83% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.17% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.95% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.05% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Leicester City 30.39%
Draw 25.85%
Chelsea 43.74%
Leicester City
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 43.74%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor Gallagher 22' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 28' redcard
  • Raheem Sterling 47' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Kai Havertz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 31'
  • yellowcard Dennis Praet 40'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 66'
Premier League Gameweek 27
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcos Alonso 34' goal
  • N'Golo Kante 47' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 59' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 66' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 85' yellowcard
  • goal James Maddison 6'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 64'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Daniel Amartey 40' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 45' yellowcard
  • Kasper Schmeichel 45' yellowcard
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 14'
  • goal N'Golo Kante 28'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 65'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 71'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 18, 2021 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonio Rudiger 47' goal
  • Jorginho 66' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 87' yellowcard
  • Edouard Mendy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 32'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 76'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 82'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 89'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Pereira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Daniel Amartey 90'+5'
FA Cup
May 15, 2021 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Timo Werner 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 36'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 63'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Wilfred Ndidi 6' goal
  • James Maddison 41' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 29'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 51'
  • yellowcard Hakim Ziyech 89'

Build-up

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