Champions League
Mar 7, 2023 8.10pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 43' goal
  • Kai Havertz 53' goal

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
Dortmund 1 - 0 Chelsea

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
Dortmund 1 - 0 Chelsea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 42.63% (-0.15)
Draw 24.9% (-0.02)
Borussia Dortmund 32.48% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.2% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.01% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 45.99% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 31.71% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 68.3% (-0.14)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 78.41% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.59% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.32% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.69% (+0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 72.95% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 27.05% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 37.58% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 62.42% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Chelsea 42.63%
Draw 24.89%
Borussia Dortmund 32.48%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.65% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.48%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Karim Adeyemi 63' goal

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