DFB-Pokal
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Kevin Stoger 64' goal
  • goal Emre Can 45'+1'
  • goal Marco Reus 70'

VfL Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 28.01% (+0.18)
Draw 20.69% (-0.03)
Borussia Dortmund 51.3% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.93% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.8% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 28.19% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 51.02% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 48.98% (-0.34)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 79.09% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 20.91% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 46.36% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 53.63% (-0.39)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 88.42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 11.58% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 63.45% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 36.54% (-0.12)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 28.01%
Draw 20.69%
Borussia Dortmund 51.3%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-97.99)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.17% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.89% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.69%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 4.95% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.67% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 51.3%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 8' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 12' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 45'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 24' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 30' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 62' goal
  • Tom Rothe 89' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 3'
  • goal Gerrit Holtmann 8'
  • yellowcard Anthony Losilla 31'
  • yellowcard Erhan Masovic 35'
  • goal Jurgen Locadia 81'
  • goal Milos Pantovic 85'
  • yellowcard Simon Zoller 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Polter 40' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schulz 57'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 58'
  • goal Julian Brandt 85'
  • yellowcard Dan-Axel Zagadou 90'+4'