Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.