Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 26' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 48' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 51' goal
  • Julian Brandt 69' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 82' goal
  • goal Lucas Holer 45'

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 0 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 68.1% (+0.02)
Draw 18.16% (-0.01)
Freiburg 13.74% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.78% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 37.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 40.58% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 59.42% (+0.04)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 90.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 9.99% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.99% (+0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.31% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.98% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.01% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 68.09%
Draw 18.16%
Freiburg 13.74%
Borussia Dortmund
2-0 @ 10.41% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 68.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.16%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.74%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Gregoritsch 35' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 33'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 67'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77'
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 84'
  • goal Marius Wolf 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Thomas Meunier 14' goal
  • Thomas Meunier 29' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 45'+1' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 75' goal
  • Julian Brandt 76' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 86' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 61'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 6' goal
  • Roland Sallai 53' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 19'
  • yellowcard Mahmoud Dahoud 34'
  • goal Yannik Keitel 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 61'
  • yellowcard Raphael Guerreiro 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 49' goal
  • Jonathan Schmid 52' goal
  • Janik Haberer 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 76'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 78'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Erling Braut Haaland 31' goal
  • Emre Can 47' goal
  • Mats Hummels 55' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 66' goal
  • Felix Passlack 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Kwon Chang-Hoon 57'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Jadon Sancho 15' goal
  • Emre Can 68' yellowcard