Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
23.46% ( 0.2)	20.72% ( -0.02)	55.81% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 64.78% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.15% (

0.33)

32.84% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.45% (

0.38)

54.54% (

-0.38)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

0.34)

26.49% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

0.45)

61.68% (

-0.45)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.12% (

0.05)

11.87% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.82% (

0.12)

37.17% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 23.46%

Borussia Dortmund 55.81%

Draw 20.72%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.46%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.72%	1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.81%