Dortmund

1 - 0

Chelsea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.