Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bynoe-Gittens (67'), Brandt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
15.83% ( 0.38)	17.64% ( 0.28)	66.52% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 62.48% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

-0.63)

29.84% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49% (

-0.76)

51% (

0.77)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

0.03)

31.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

0.03)

68.24% (

-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.62% (

-0.3)

8.38% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.84% (

-0.76)

29.16% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 15.83%

Borussia Dortmund 66.52%

Draw 17.64%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 15.83%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.64%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 4.81% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 2-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.75% Total : 66.52%