Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Werder Bremen
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 67'
  • goal Julian Brandt 84'

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 2.30pm
Stuttgart 0 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Dortmund 5 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 15.83% ▲ (+0.39)
Draw 17.64% ▲ (+0.29)
Borussia Dortmund 66.52% ▼ (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.48% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.16% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 29.84% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 49% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 3.5 51% ▲ (+0.77)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 68.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 31.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 91.62% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 8.38% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 70.84% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 1.5 29.16% ▲ (+0.76)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 15.83%
Draw 17.64%
Borussia Dortmund 66.52%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 15.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.64%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.14)
1-4 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
0-5 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
2-5 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 66.52%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Dortmund
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Anthony Modeste 39' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 45'+2' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 77' goal
  • Marius Wolf 83' yellowcard
  • Marco Reus 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 29'
  • goal Lee Buchanan 89'
  • goal Niklas Schmidt 90'+3'
  • goal Oliver Burke 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Dortmund
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Giovanni Reyna 29' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 34' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 38' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 48' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 87' goal
  • goal Milot Rashica 14'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 60'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 66'
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 77'
  • yellowcard Niklas Moisander 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Kevin Mohwald 28' goal
  • Christian Gross 54' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 87' yellowcard
  • Romano Schmid 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 12'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 60'
  • goal Marco Reus 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Weserstadion
Dortmund
  • goal Dan-Axel Zagadou 52'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 66'
DFB-Pokal
Werder Bremen
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Davie Selke 16' goal
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 23' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 30' goal
  • Milot Rashica 70' goal
  • Niklas Moisander 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schulz 49'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 64'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 67'
  • goal Giovanni Reyna 78'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Reyna 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Dortmund
Sep 28, 2019 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund)
Werder Bremen
  • Mario Gotze 9' goal
  • Marco Reus 41' goal
  • Julian Weigl 68' yellowcard
  • goal Milot Rashica 7'
  • goal Marco Friedl 55'

Form Data

Stuttgart 0 - 2 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 2 - 1 Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Union Berlin
FC Koln 7 - 1 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Bayern 6 - 1 Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 5 - 1 Freiburg
B. Leverkusen 0 - 2 Dortmund
Mainz 1 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 4 - 3 Augsburg
Dortmund 5 - 1 Dusseldorf