Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 17, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Jensen (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
33.65% ( 0.16)	26.12% ( 0.18)	40.23% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

-0.7)

51% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

-0.62)

72.87% (

0.62)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.24)

28.76% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.31)

64.6% (

0.31)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.49)

24.97% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

-0.68)

59.61% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 33.65%

Hoffenheim 40.23%

Draw 26.11%

Augsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.65%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.23%