Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
3 - 1
Augsburg

Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Demirovic (28' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
49.96% ( -0)	24.08% ( 0)	25.95% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

-0)

46.06% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63% (

-0)

68.36% (

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

-0)

18.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.3% (

-0)

49.7% (

0.01)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

31.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89% (

68.1% (

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 49.96%

Augsburg 25.95%

Draw 24.07%

Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.96%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.95%