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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 18.09% | 18.98% | 62.93% |
| Both teams to score 62.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.89% | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% | 53.69% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% | 67.08% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.18% | 9.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.4% | 32.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.22% 2-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.45% Total : 18.09% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 3.02% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-3 @ 6.31% 2-3 @ 4.37% 1-4 @ 4.31% 0-4 @ 3.66% 2-4 @ 2.54% 1-5 @ 2% 0-5 @ 1.7% 2-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.93% |