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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund


Posch (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reus (76')
Reyna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.09%18.98%62.93%
Both teams to score 62.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31%53.69%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18%9.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.4%32.59%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 18.09%
    Borussia Dortmund 62.93%
    Draw 18.98%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.87%
1-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.22%
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.98%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-3 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.31%
2-3 @ 4.37%
1-4 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 3.66%
2-4 @ 2.54%
1-5 @ 2%
0-5 @ 1.7%
2-5 @ 1.18%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.93%

Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 20, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-3
Hoffenheim
Sancho (32'), Gotze (43'), Guerreiro (66')
Belfodil (75', 87'), Kaderabek (83')
Grillitsch (28'), Demirbay (40'), Geiger (89')
Sep 22, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-1
Dortmund
Joelinton (44')
Posch (57'), Nordtveit (90')
Pulisic (84')
Dahoud (21')
Diallo (76')
May 12, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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