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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Dortmund


Posch (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reus (76')
Reyna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.09%18.98%62.93%
Both teams to score 62.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31%53.69%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18%9.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.4%32.59%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 18.09%
    Borussia Dortmund 62.93%
    Draw 18.98%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.87%
1-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.22%
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.98%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-3 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.31%
2-3 @ 4.37%
1-4 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 3.66%
2-4 @ 2.54%
1-5 @ 2%
0-5 @ 1.7%
2-5 @ 1.18%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.93%