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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Adeyemi (27'), Malen (31'), Reus (76'), Brandt (90')
Ryerson (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tousart (46')
Cigerci (58'), Rogel (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Although Hertha Berlin crushed Gladbach last time out, Schwarz's side will struggle to continue their mini-revival against in-form Borussia Dortmund. After all, BVB have won six of their last seven Bundesliga home games, meaning that Terzic's men should extend their winning streak to eight games without any real problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
75.63%14.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 9.67% (-0.00090000000000146 -0)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)78.62% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 75.62%
    Hertha Berlin 9.67%
    Draw 14.7%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.42%
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 3.3%
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.3%
6-0 @ 1.47%
6-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 75.62%
1-1 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.7%
1-2 @ 2.91%
0-1 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 9.67%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Hertha Berlin
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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