Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 1.30pm
Spurs 2 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Leeds 1 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result

Chelsea 58.75% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 22.3% ▼ (-0.12)
Leeds United 18.95% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.78% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 46.22% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 31.49% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 68.51% ▼ (-0.39)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 84.6% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 15.39% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 55.8% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 44.2% ▼ (-0.37)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 75.06% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Chelsea 58.74%
Draw 22.29%
Leeds United 18.95%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 11.03% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 58.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.29%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.95%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 3
Leeds
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Brenden Aaronson 33' goal
  • Rodrigo 37' goal
  • Jack Harrison 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 9'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 36'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 84'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Leeds
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel James 24' redcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Mount 4'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 55'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 83'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Chelsea
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Reece James 34' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 42' goal
  • Jorginho 58' goal
  • Mason Mount 60' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+4' goal
  • goal Raphinha 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 42'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 53'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 69'
  • goal Joe Gelhardt 83'
  • yellowcard Illan Meslier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Leeds
Mar 13, 2021 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Tyler Roberts 23' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 75' yellowcard
Premier League Gameweek 11
Chelsea
Dec 5, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Olivier Giroud 27' goal
  • Kurt Zouma 61' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 90'+3' goal
  • goal Patrick Bamford 4'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 74'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 90'+5'
League Cup
Leeds
Dec 19, 2012 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 5
FT
Chelsea
  • Luciano Becchio 0' goal
  • goal Juan Mata 0'
  • goal Branislav Ivanovic 0'
  • goal Victor Moses 0'
  • goal Eden Hazard 0'
  • goal Fernando Torres 0'

Form Data

Spurs 2 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 1 Southampton
Dortmund 1 - 0 Chelsea
West Ham 1 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 0 Fulham
Liverpool 0 - 0 Chelsea
Fulham 2 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Southampton
Everton 1 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 2 Leeds
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Leeds

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