Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.09% ( | 25.19% ( | 46.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( | 49.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( | 71.36% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( | 68.17% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( | 21.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( | 53.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.72% |