Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Martinelli (28'), Saka (43', 74'), Xhaka (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schlupp (63')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on March 19, 2023

Arsenal set new all-time English football record in Crystal Palace win

Arsenal set a new all-time English Football League record in London derbies with Sunday's 4-1 Premier League victory over Crystal Palace at the Emirates Stadium.

Mar 19, 21:09

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.78%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Crystal Palace
77.6% ( 0.12)	14.48% ( -0.06)	7.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.09% (

0.05)

36.91% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.91% (

0.06)

59.1% (

-0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.25% (

0.04)

7.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.42% (

0.1)

27.58% (

-0.1)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.1% (

-0.12)

49.9% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.42% (

-0.08)

84.59% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 77.59%

Crystal Palace 7.93%

Draw 14.48%

Arsenal	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 77.59%	1-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 14.48%	0-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 7.93%