Premier League
Gameweek
26
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Farselog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fboulog.png)
-
Thomas Partey
62'
-
Ben White
70'
-
Reiss Nelson
90'+7'
-
Philip Billing
1'
-
Marcos Senesi
57'
Arsenal vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fmikel-arteta.JPG)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Freinel_1.JPG)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fleandro-trossard.jpg)
The match
Result
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fgabmar.jpg)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F42%2Fthomas-partey.jpeg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F42%2Fgabriel-jesus.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
82.61%
▲
(+3.77)
Draw
11.49%
▼
(-1.91)
Bournemouth
5.9%
▼
(-1.86)
Both Teams to Score:
47.08%
▼
(-2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.08%
▲
(+1.97)
Under 2.5
29.91%
▼
(-1.97)
Over 3.5
48.91%
▲
(+2.34)
Under 3.5
51.09%
▼
(-2.34)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
94.67%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 0.5
5.32%
▼
(-1.08)
Over 1.5
79.05%
▲
(+3.06)
Under 1.5
20.94%
▼
(-3.06)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5
49.73%
▼
(-3.63)
Under 0.5
50.27%
▲
(+3.63)
Over 1.5
15.15%
▼
(-2.63)
Under 1.5
84.84%
▲
(+2.63)
Score analysis
Arsenal
82.6%
Draw
11.49%
Bournemouth
5.9%
Arsenal
2-0
@
11.51%
▲
(+0.25)
3-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.92)
4-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+1.15)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.69)
1-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.26)
5-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.94)
5-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.35)
6-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.58)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.12)
6-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.27)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 82.6%
3-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.92)
4-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+1.15)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.69)
1-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.26)
5-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.94)
5-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.35)
6-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.58)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.12)
6-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.27)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 82.6%
Draw
1-1
@
5.4%
▼
(-0.86)
2-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.56)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 11.49%
2-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.56)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 11.49%
Bournemouth
1-2
@
1.86%
▼
(-0.53)
0-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 5.9%
0-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 5.9%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
3
-
Jordan Zemura
27'
-
Adam Smith
60'
-
Martin Odegaard
5'
-
Martin Odegaard
11'
-
Gabriel Jesus
52'
-
William Saliba
54'
FA Cup
-
Harry Wilson
45'
-
Sam Surridge
94'
-
Sam Surridge
98'
-
Bukayo Saka
5'
-
Eddie Nketiah
26'
-
Granit Xhaka
92'
Premier League
Gameweek
19
-
Dan Gosling
35'
-
Jefferson Lerma
53'
-
Chris Mepham
85'
-
Steve Cook
85'
-
Callum Wilson
94'
-
Lucas Torreira
54'
-
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
55'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
63'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
64'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
93'
Premier League
Gameweek
8
-
David Luiz
9'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
72'
-
Philip Billing
13'
-
Jack Stacey
29'
Premier League
Gameweek
28
-
Mesut Ozil
4'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
27'
-
Sokratis Papastathopoulos
36'
-
Laurent Koscielny
47'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
59'
-
Lucas Torreira
69'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
78'
-
Lys Mousset
30'
-
Joshua King
32'
-
Charlie Daniels
77'
Premier League
Gameweek
13
-
Joshua King
45'
-
Nathan Ake
52'
-
Jefferson Lerma
66'
-
Sokratis
25'
-
Jefferson Lerma
30'
(OG)
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
67'