Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Partey (62'), White (70'), Nelson (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Billing (1'), Senesi (57')

Reaction

Arsenal's Leandro Trossard walks off the pitch to be substituted after sustaining an injury on March 4, 2023

Arsenal handed boost over Leandro Trossard injury?

Arsenal are reportedly hopeful that attacker Leandro Trossard will be able to return from a groin injury before the international break.

Mar 6, 14:20

Arsenal celebrate Reiss Nelson's goal against Bournemouth on March 4, 2023

FA 'investigating Arsenal celebrations in Bournemouth victory'

The FA are investigating Arsenal's manic celebrations during their dramatic 3-2 win over Bournemouth on Saturday, according to a report.

Mar 6, 13:59

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta celebrates on March 4, 2023

Mikel Arteta: 'Reiss Nelson is on a different level'

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta claims that Reiss Nelson is "on a different level" after his dramatic late winner off the bench against Bournemouth.

Mar 4, 18:49

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Everton
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-4 Man City
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Bournemouth
82.61% ( 3.77)	11.49% ( -1.9)	5.9% ( -1.86)

Both teams to score 47.08% (

-2.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.08% (

1.97)

29.91% (

-1.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.91% (

2.34)

51.09% (

-2.33)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.67% (

1.08)

5.32% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.05% (

3.06)

20.94% (

-3.06)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.73% (

-3.62)

50.27% (

3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15% (

-2.63)

84.84% (

2.63)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 82.6%

Bournemouth 5.9%

Draw 11.49%

Arsenal	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.92) 4-0 @ 8.25% ( 1.15) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.26) 5-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.94) 5-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.34) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.58) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.26) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.5% Total : 82.6%	1-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.69% Total : 11.49%	1-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.9%