Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Dean Court

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Newcastle

Senesi (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Almiron (45+2')

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Bournemouth hold top four-chasing Newcastle United to a 1-1 draw at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Newcastle United
20.66% ( -0.01)	23.03% ( -0)	56.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99% (

0.02)

47.01% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74% (

0.02)

69.26% (

-0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.04% (

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

73.75% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

0.01)

16.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.77% (

0.02)

46.23% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 20.66%

Newcastle United 56.3%

Draw 23.03%

Bournemouth	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.66%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.3%