FA Cup
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 12' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 48' goal
  • goal Manuel Benson 6'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 39'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 43'
  • goal Manuel Benson 57'

Bournemouth vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Burnley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 32.32% (-0.01)
Draw 25.94% (+0.01)
Burnley 41.74% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.65% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.43% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.57% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.49%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.41% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.4% (+0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 76% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24%
Over 1.5 41.75% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.25% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 32.32%
Draw 25.93%
Burnley 41.74%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
Burnley
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Dwight McNeil 85' yellowcard
  • Phil Bardsley 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 21'
  • goal Junior Stanislas 88'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Matej Vydra 53' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 60' goal
  • Phil Bardsley 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Lennon 84' yellowcard
  • Dwight McNeil 88' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 89' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 43'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 90'
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 90'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Rico 56' yellowcard
  • Simon Francis 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 45'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 56'
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 62'
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 89'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 4' goal
  • Nathaniel Clyne 29' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 95' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wood 18'
  • goal Ashley Westwood 20'
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 32'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 35'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 56'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 78'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2018 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matthew Lowton 31' yellowcard
  • Matej Vydra 39' goal
  • Aaron Lennon 41' goal
  • Ashley Westwood 56' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 84' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 88' goal
Premier League
May 13, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Wood 40' goal
  • goal Joshua King 74'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'