FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
2 - 4
Burnley

Christie (12'), Solanke (48')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Benson (6', 57'), Zaroury (39', 43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Burnley
32.32% ( -0)	25.94% ( 0)	41.74% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

-0)

50.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

-0)

72.49%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.01)

29.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6% (

-0.01)

65.4% (

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

-0)

24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

-0)

58.25% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 32.32%

Burnley 41.74%

Draw 25.93%

Bournemouth	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.32%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.74%