Europa League
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Arsenal
  • Goncalo Inacio 34' goal
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • goal William Saliba 22'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 62' (OG)

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Sporting Lisbon

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Arsenal

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Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 34.66% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 25.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Arsenal 39.94% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 47.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 26.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 38.26% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 61.74% ▼ (-0.15)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 42.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 34.66%
Draw 25.39%
Arsenal 39.94%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 4
Arsenal
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Luis 74'
  • redcard Jeremy Mathieu 87'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Marcos Acuna 39' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 71' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 46'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 52'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 77'

Form Data

Portimonense 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Estoril
Midtjylland 0 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Chaves 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Midtjylland
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Porto
Arsenal 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Arsenal 4 - 0 Everton
Leicester 0 - 1 Arsenal
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 3 Man City
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brentford

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