Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Midtjylland

(Sporting Lisbon win 5-1 on aggregate)

Coates (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ashour (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Randers 0-0 Midtjylland
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	FC Midtjylland
66.11% ( 0.03)	19.31% ( -0.01)	14.58% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26% (

0.03)

40.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.87% (

0.03)

63.13% (

-0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

0.01)

11.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.66% (

0.03)

36.34% (

-0.04)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62% (

-0)

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

-0)

76.99% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.1%

FC Midtjylland 14.58%

Draw 19.31%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	FC Midtjylland
2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 66.1%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.31%	0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.58%