Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.