Europa League
Nov 3, 2022 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anders Dreyer 15' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 72' goal

FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Lazio 2 - 1 Midtjylland

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 8.00pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Feyenoord

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result

FC Midtjylland 37.15% (+0.16)
Draw 26.6% (+0.09)
Sturm Graz 36.24% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.21% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.27% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 52.73% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 25.63% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 74.36% (+0.30)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 72.52% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 27.47% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.03% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.96% (+0.10)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 28.01% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 36.35% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 63.65% (+0.40)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 37.15%
Draw 26.6%
Sturm Graz 36.24%
FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 9.94% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.69% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.6%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 9.79% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.24%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Emegha 8' goal