Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

MCH Arena

Midtjylland
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

(Sporting Lisbon win 5-1 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coates (21'), Goncalves (50', 77'), Gartenmann (85' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Viborg 0-4 Midtjylland
Monday, February 20 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
24.19% ( 0.22)	23.96% ( -0.02)	51.85% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

0.28)

47.08% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

0.26)

69.32% (

-0.26)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

0.34)

33.7% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

0.37)

70.36% (

-0.38)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

0.03)

18.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.88% (

0.05)

49.12% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 24.19%

Sporting Lisbon 51.84%

Draw 23.96%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.19%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.84%