Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.