Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulinho (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 27 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
15.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)20.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)63.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23%44.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)41.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)77.64% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 15.91%
    Sporting Lisbon 63.3%
    Draw 20.79%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.93%
2-1 @ 4.39%
2-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.91%
1-1 @ 9.88%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.79%
0-2 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.61%
0-4 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.47%
1-5 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 63.3%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Sporting Lisbon

Portimonense
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Sporting Lisbon
66.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Portimonense
Trincao (7', 41'), Goncalves (72'), Santos (76')
Santos (44')
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
Portimonense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')
Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')
Dec 29, 2021 9pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-2
Portimonense
Paulinho (65', 76', 83')
Esteves (22'), Goncalves (30'), Paulinho (45+3'), Nunes (63')
Reis (21' og.), Possignolo (90+2')
Willyan (30'), Sa (45+3')
Sa (58')
Feb 20, 2021 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Portimonense
Feddal (27'), Santos (31')

Ewerton (37'), Henrique (50'), Dener (90+1')
Oct 4, 2020 9pm
Portimonense
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Possignolo (40')
Mendes (4'), Santos (11')
Coates (46')