Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
61.33% ( -0.01) | 22.39% ( 0.01) | 16.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.01) | 50.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.01) | 72.62% ( 0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( -0.01) | 16.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( -0.01) | 45.46% ( 0.02) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( 0) | 44.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.73% | 80.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |