Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 61.33% ( | 22.39% ( | 16.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( | 50.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( | 72.62% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( | 16.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.83% ( | 44.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.73% | 80.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28% |