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Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Belenenses

Famalicao
4 - 1
Belenenses

Tabuaco (37' og.), Cadiz (57', 59'), Jaime (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Famalicao and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Belenenses

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vilaverdense 1-4 Belenenses
Wednesday, January 11 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBelenenses
54.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)20.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (0.004999999999999 0)77% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)42.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.02% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 54.78%
    Belenenses 20.08%
    Draw 25.13%
FamalicaoDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.08%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Belenenses

Famalicao
94.6%
Draw
5.4%
Belenenses
0.0%
37
Head to Head
May 9, 2022 8.15pm
Belenenses
2-3
Famalicao
Alex (44' og.), Baraye (90+3')
Tavares (26'), Sousa (90+2'), Carraca (90+6')
Marin (67'), Rodrigues (76'), Pepe (90+5')
Banza (90+2')
Jan 13, 2022 6pm
Famalicao
1-0
Belenenses
Riccieli (62')
Riccieli (48')

Nuno (21'), Carraca (77')
Feb 12, 2021 8.30pm
Famalicao
0-0
Belenenses

Verdonk (45'), Rodrigues (49'), Pepe (84')

Varela (22'), Esgaio (58'), Phete (69'), Ramires (90+3')
Sep 28, 2020 7.45pm
Belenenses
1-2
Famalicao
Cassierra (42')
Phete (25'), Esgaio (36'), Varela (62')
Riccieli (52'), Valenzuela (55')
Assuncao (15'), Patrick (90+1'), Campana Romero (90+3'), Silva (90+4'), Pereyra (90+5')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Belenenses
0-0
Famalicao

Cafumana (17')

Miranda (36'), Perez (81'), Racic (90')