Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Campo Cruz Do Reguengo
Belenenses

Vilaverdense
1 - 4
Belenenses

Kikas (66' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopes (1'), Jefferson (20'), Kikas (78' pen.), Pacheco (90+5')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Vilaverdense and Belenenses.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vilaverdense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vilaverdense 7-0 Oliveira Hospital
Tuesday, November 8 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Belenenses

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vilafranquense 0-0 Belenenses
Sunday, December 11 at 11am in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Vilaverdense had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Vilaverdense win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.

Result
VilaverdenseDrawBelenenses
31.87% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)24.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.56% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Vilaverdense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.18%
Score Analysis
    Vilaverdense 31.87%
    Belenenses 43.56%
    Draw 24.56%
VilaverdenseDrawBelenenses
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.56%

How you voted: Vilaverdense vs Belenenses

Vilaverdense
0.0%
Draw
66.7%
Belenenses
33.3%
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