Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 52.17% ( | 24.91% ( | 22.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( | 52.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( | 73.86% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( | 19.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( | 52.14% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( | 37.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( | 74.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93% |