Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 29.33% ( | 24.39% ( | 46.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( | 45.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( | 28.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( | 64.53% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.28% |