Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Arouca

Carvalho (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabbagh (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
51.67% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)25.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.97% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)20.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.52% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.53% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)75.27% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 51.67%
    Arouca 22.97%
    Draw 25.35%
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Arouca

Gil Vicente
21.7%
Draw
8.7%
Arouca
69.6%
23
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
Fourth Round
Gil Vicente
1-4
Arouca
Carvalho (17')
Carvalho (19')
Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')
Aug 15, 2022 6pm
Arouca
1-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (1')
Soro (44'), Ruiz (52'), De Arruabarrena (73'), Vitinho (90+1')

Cunha (38'), Carraca (81')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Arouca
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')
Simao (45')
Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Navarro (47')
Talocha (70')
Nunes (16')
Quaresma (21'), Silva (35'), Moreira (66'), Kouassi (77')
Silva (83')
rhs 2.0


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