Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 36.48% ( | 28.97% ( | 34.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.27% ( | 61.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% ( | 81.54% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( | 68.83% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( | 33.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( | 70.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0-0 @ 10.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.55% |