Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Santa Clara

Arouca
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Ruiz (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawSanta Clara
34.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)36.86% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)31.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)68.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 34.96%
    Santa Clara 36.86%
    Draw 28.16%
AroucaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Arouca vs Santa Clara

Arouca
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Santa Clara
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 6.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Arouca
Babi (56')
Bicalho (11')
Opoku (30'), Dabbagh (87')
Aug 20, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Arouca
Amorim (50')
Antonio (30'), Marcos (84')
Mujica (61'), Basso (76' pen.)
Milovanov (40'), Soro (42'), Esgaio (71')
Apr 15, 2022 3.30pm
Arouca
1-1
Santa Clara
Silva (54')
Silva (45+1'), Silva (59'), Ruiz (83')
Tagawa (72')
Allano (43'), Henrique (80'), Gonzalez (90'), Antonio (90+2')
Dec 5, 2021 3.30pm
Santa Clara
2-1
Arouca
Crysan (21', 45+5')
Pereira (46'), Nene (49'), Ramos (58'), Boateng (73')
Nunes (45+1')
Quaresma (16'), Valderrama (70'), Campi (90+1'), Nunes (90+4')