Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Maritimo

Portimonense
2 - 1
Maritimo

Mauricio (84'), Junior (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Xadas (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawMaritimo
52.27% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.5% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)22.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)55.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.023000000000003 0.02)76.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.044000000000004 0.04)53.91% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)39.93% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.59% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 52.26%
    Maritimo 22.24%
    Draw 25.5%
PortimonenseDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.1%
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.24%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Maritimo

Portimonense
60.6%
Draw
30.3%
Maritimo
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
0-1
Portimonense

Moreno (29'), China (90+3')
Junior (43')
Junior (41')
May 14, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
0-1
Portimonense

Andrade (15'), Guitane (45'), Alipour (84')
Ewerton (80')
Moufi (9'), Relvas (39')
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-2
Maritimo
Fabricio (68' pen.)
Relvas (35'), Possignolo (60'), Pedrao (71'), Moufi (72')
Guitane (45+7'), Joel (90+1')
Costa (72'), Winck (79'), Mendes (86')
Feb 28, 2021 3pm
Portimonense
0-0
Maritimo

Willyan (38')

Pelagio (12'), Junior (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Portimonense
Pinho (51' pen.)
Pinho (14'), Kibe (43'), Winck (87'), Jean (90+6')
Dener (69'), Oliveira (74')
Sa (82')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!