Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Mauricio (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 4-2 Portimonense
Sunday, January 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
55.18% ( 0.19)	25.31% ( -0.19)	19.52% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.37% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.86% (

0.65)

57.14% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.99% (

0.52)

78% (

-0.52)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

0.34)

20.73% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64% (

0.53)

53.36% (

-0.53)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.97% (

0.38)

44.03% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86% (

0.31)

80.14% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 55.16%

Pacos de Ferreira 19.52%

Draw 25.3%

Portimonense	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.36% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.16%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.52%