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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Estoril

Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of a dominant Europa League performance, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday with their morale high and full of confidence. The Leoes have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in experience and quality between the two teams, we are backing them to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
71.5% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 10.93% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)41.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.39% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)33.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.12% (0.101 0.1)46.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)82.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 71.48%
    Estoril Praia 10.93%
    Draw 17.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
87.3%
Draw
4.2%
Estoril Praia
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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