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Arouca
Benfica
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Estoril
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Moreirense
Portimonense
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Estoril

Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of a dominant Europa League performance, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday with their morale high and full of confidence. The Leoes have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in experience and quality between the two teams, we are backing them to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
71.5% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 10.93% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)41.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.39% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)33.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.12% (0.101 0.1)46.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)82.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 71.48%
    Estoril Praia 10.93%
    Draw 17.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
87.3%
Draw
4.2%
Estoril Praia
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
11Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
12SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
13BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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