Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
71.5% ( -0.11) | 17.57% ( 0.05) | 10.93% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% ( -0.04) | 10.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% ( -0.09) | 33.92% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( 0.1) | 46.88% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( 0.08) | 82.4% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |