Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
71.5% ( -0.11) | 17.57% ( 0.05) | 10.93% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% ( -0.04) | 10.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% ( -0.09) | 33.92% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( 0.1) | 46.88% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( 0.08) | 82.4% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |