Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Estoril

Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Midtjylland 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estoril Praia
71.5% ( -0.11)	17.57% ( 0.05)	10.93% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.6% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.17% (

-0.03)

41.83% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77% (

-0.03)

64.23% (

0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

-0.04)

10.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.08% (

-0.09)

33.92% (

0.09)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.12% (

0.1)

46.88% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6% (

0.08)

82.4% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 71.48%

Estoril Praia 10.93%

Draw 17.57%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.48%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.57%	0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.93%