Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.