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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Estoril
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Geraldes (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Butzke (16'), Thomas (26'), Holsgrove (64')
Carlos (45+1'), Holsgrove (63'), Uilton (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

While Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to stop the rot, they face an Estoril Praia side who have been solid at home in recent weeks. A run of two wins in three matches should have the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota buzzing this weekend and we predict that the Canarinhos will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
46.37% (-0.189 -0.19) 27.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 26.1% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (0.131 0.13)59.33% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (0.101 0.1)79.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.49% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (0.244 0.24)38.75% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (0.23 0.23)75.49% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 46.37%
    Pacos de Ferreira 26.1%
    Draw 27.52%
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Pacos de Ferreira

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Pacos de Ferreira
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 8.15pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-3
Estoril

Kayky (15'), Butzke (77')
Djalo (53'), Peixoto (68'), Butzke (88')
Carlos (26', 43'), Lea Siliki (72')
Jan 31, 2022 7pm
Estoril
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Patrick (31'), Joaozinho (45+1'), Arthur (52'), Soria (64'), Gamboa (90+4')
Arthur (75')

Pires (35'), Lima (74')
Aug 23, 2021 7pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-3
Estoril
Delgado (30')
Fonseca (58'), Ferreira (66'), Carlos (80')
Lourenco (45+1'), Franco (78' pen.), Joaozinho (81')
Geraldes (22'), Crespo (37'), Ferraresi (89')
Mar 17, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Gomes (1')
Gomes (45'), Rodrigues (51')
Vieira (54')
Quinones (11'), Micael (71'), Martins (79'), Assis (85'), Correia (92')
Oct 29, 2017 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-0
Estoril
Abner (5' og.)
Vieira (73'), Santos (76'), da Silva (77'), Pedrinho (90')
Santos (83')

Andrade (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
11Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
12SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
13BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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