Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Geraldes (50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Butzke (16'), Thomas (26'), Holsgrove (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
46.37% ( -0.19)	27.52% ( -0)	26.1% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 45.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.67% (

0.13)

59.33% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.27% (

0.1)

79.72% (

-0.1)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

-0.03)

25.61% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51% (

-0.05)

60.49% (

0.05)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.25% (

0.24)

38.75% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

0.23)

75.49% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 46.37%

Pacos de Ferreira 26.1%

Draw 27.52%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.1%