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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Andersen (27' og.)
Moreno (66'), Luiz (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Doucoure (57'), Eze (69'), Ahamada (82'), Zaha (87')

The Match

Match Report

Joachim Andersen's second-half own goal gifts Aston Villa a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Liverpool
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
48.96% (-0.53 -0.53) 25.25% (-0.104 -0.1) 25.78% (0.635 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (0.892 0.89)51.12% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.777 0.78)72.97% (-0.776 -0.78)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.136 0.14)20.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.211 0.21)53.61% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (1.023 1.02)34.54% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (1.072 1.07)71.26% (-1.071 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.96%
    Crystal Palace 25.78%
    Draw 25.25%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
59.3%
Draw
26.5%
Crystal Palace
14.2%
113
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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