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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Bournemouth

Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
McGinn (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Billing (14'), Lerma (58'), Senesi (66'), Stephens (79')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa ended a four-match losing run versus Bournemouth on Saturday, earning a 3-0 victory against them to extend their unbeaten run to four successive matches in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
61.5% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.31%17.19%
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27%44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91%67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.58%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85%76.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 61.49%
    Bournemouth 17.19%
    Draw 21.3%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
67.1%
Draw
23.7%
Bournemouth
9.2%
152
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea25127647341343
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
9Aston Villa2410773437-337
10Fulham249963632436
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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