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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Bournemouth

Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
McGinn (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Billing (14'), Lerma (58'), Senesi (66'), Stephens (79')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa ended a four-match losing run versus Bournemouth on Saturday, earning a 3-0 victory against them to extend their unbeaten run to four successive matches in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
61.5% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.31%17.19%
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27%44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91%67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.58%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85%76.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 61.49%
    Bournemouth 17.19%
    Draw 21.3%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
67.1%
Draw
23.7%
Bournemouth
9.2%
152
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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