Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 61.5% ( | 21.31% | 17.19% |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% | 44.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% | 67.1% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( | 14.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.42% ( | 41.58% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( | 39.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% | 76.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.19% |