Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
61.5% ( 0) | 21.31% | 17.19% |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% | 44.73% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% | 67.1% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.98% ( 0) | 14.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% ( 0) | 41.58% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% ( -0) | 39.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% | 76.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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