Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 7' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 80' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 89' goal

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
West Ham 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 12.30pm
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Liverpool
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Philip Billing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 61.5% (+0.01)
Draw 21.31%
Bournemouth 17.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.05% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.27%
Under 2.5 44.73% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.91%
Under 3.5 67.1% (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 85.98% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.03%
Over 1.5 58.42% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 41.58%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.46% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.85%
Under 1.5 76.15% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 61.49%
Draw 21.3%
Bournemouth 17.19%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.3%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.19%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Jefferson Lerma 2' goal
  • Adam Smith 39' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Philip Billing 73' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 80' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 23'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Seward Stadium
  • Jefferson Lerma 18' yellowcard
  • Philip Billing 37' goal
  • Nathan Ake 44' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 51' redcard
  • Callum Wilson 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 36'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 43'
  • goal Mbwana Samatta 70'
  • yellowcard Kortney Hause 91'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 71' goal
  • goal Joshua King 2'
  • goal Harry Wilson 12'
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 36'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ake 59'
Premier League
Apr 9, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ayew 85' goal
  • Jordan Ayew 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Cook 27'
  • yellowcard Charlie Daniels 32'
  • goal Steve Cook 45'
  • goal Joshua King 74'
Premier League
Aug 8, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua King 24' yellowcard
  • Steve Cook 42' yellowcard
  • Dan Gosling 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ciaran Clark 45'
  • goal Rudy Gestede 72'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 74'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 75'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 92'
FA Cup
Jan 25, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carles Gil 51' goal
  • Alan Hutton 62' yellowcard
  • Jores Okore 62' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 71' goal
  • Leandro Bacuna 83' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 93'